🇬🇧High importance
GB CPI
United Kingdom· GBP· Inflation
Next release
The next release date isn't scheduled yet.
Previous release
17 июн. 2026 г. · 06:00
below forecast- Actual
- 2.8%
- Forecast
- 3%
- Prev.
- 2.8%
How the market reacted
EURGBP · 30 min: +1.2 pips ↗
EURGBP · 60 min: +1.8 pips ↗
Base-rate brief
GB CPI · Year over year (YoY)
The main instrument for this event is EURGBP; GBPUSD act as confirmation.
Below forecast
Soft inflation versus forecast: historically this more often weighed on the pound.
EUR/GBP · основной
rose 12 of 15 (80%)· 30 min· median +5 pips
GBP/USD · подтверждение
fell 12 of 15 (80%)· 30 min· median -4.6 pips
Above forecast
Hot inflation versus forecast: historically this more often supported the pound.
EUR/GBP · основной
fell 9 of 12 (75%)· 60 min· median -1.6 pips
GBP/USD · подтверждение
fell 6 of 10 (60%)· 60 min· median -0.6 pips
Sample: 15 releases below forecast / 12 above. The base updates after recomputation. This is historical context, not a signal or advice.
Release history · 37
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Prev. | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 июн. 2026 г. | 2.8% | 3% | 2.8% | below |
| 20 мая 2026 г. | 2.8% | 3% | 3.3% | below |
| 22 апр. 2026 г. | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3% | in line |
| 25 мар. 2026 г. | 3% | 3% | 3% | in line |
| 18 февр. 2026 г. | 3% | 3% | 3.4% | in line |
| 21 янв. 2026 г. | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | above |
| 17 дек. 2025 г. | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | below |
| 19 нояб. 2025 г. | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | in line |
| 22 окт. 2025 г. | 3.8% | 4% | 3.8% | below |
| 17 сент. 2025 г. | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | in line |
| 20 авг. 2025 г. | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | above |
| 16 июл. 2025 г. | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | above |
| 18 июн. 2025 г. | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | in line |
| 21 мая 2025 г. | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | above |
| 16 апр. 2025 г. | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | below |
| 26 мар. 2025 г. | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3% | below |
| 19 февр. 2025 г. | 3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | above |
| 15 янв. 2025 г. | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | below |
| 18 дек. 2024 г. | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | in line |
| 20 нояб. 2024 г. | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | above |
| 16 окт. 2024 г. | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | below |
| 18 сент. 2024 г. | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | in line |
| 14 авг. 2024 г. | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2% | below |
| 17 июл. 2024 г. | 2% | 1.9% | 2% | above |