Rigense

USD/JPY

Price
159.78Open
24H
+0.29%

USD/JPY is one of the cleanest expressions of yield differentials and policy divergence between the Fed and the Bank of Japan. It is also highly sensitive to sudden risk-off moves and any sign of Japanese policy normalization.

Description
USD/JPY is one of the cleanest expressions of yield differentials and policy divergence between the Fed and the Bank of Japan. It is also highly sensitive to sudden risk-off moves and any sign of Japanese policy normalization.
Asset class
FX
Primary venue
TokyoAsia FX session
Session status
OpenGlobal FX · 24/5
24h change
+0.29%
Relevant tags
FXRisk-On
Macro sensitivity
Yield differentials · BoJ normalization risk · Fed path · Risk-off demand
Upcoming high-impact events
Time
Impact
Type
Event
What moves this asset
Macro release
Result
Why it moved
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jul)
Aug 5, 2026 · 14:00
High impact
Previous 54.0
Growth momentum: The previous 54.0 reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. Survey data gives an early read on activity, orders, prices and hiring before hard macro data arrives. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
S&P Global Services PMI (Jul)
Aug 5, 2026 · 13:45
High impact
Forecast 51.3 · Previous 51.2
Growth momentum: Consensus looked for 51.3 versus 51.2 previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Survey data gives an early read on activity, orders, prices and hiring before hard macro data arrives. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jul)
Aug 5, 2026 · 12:15
High impact
Forecast 118K · Previous 98K
Labor-market signal: Consensus looked for 118K versus 98K previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Indicators for Core CPI
Aug 25, 2026 · 05:00
Medium impact
Forecast 1.5% · Previous 1.4%
Inflation repricing: Consensus looked for 1.5% versus 1.4% previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Inflation data changes how restrictive central banks may need to stay, so rates and currencies can move quickly. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
S&P Global Composite PMI (Jul)
Aug 5, 2026 · 13:45
Medium impact
Forecast 52.2 · Previous 51.9
Growth momentum: Consensus looked for 52.2 versus 51.9 previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Survey data gives an early read on activity, orders, prices and hiring before hard macro data arrives. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
S&P Global Services PMI (Jul)
Aug 5, 2026 · 00:30
Medium impact
Forecast 51.8 · Previous 52.2
Growth momentum: Consensus looked for 51.8 versus 52.2 previously, setting up a cooler expected print. Survey data gives an early read on activity, orders, prices and hiring before hard macro data arrives. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Important recent news
Time
Headline