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EUR/USD

Price
1.1457Open
24H
+0.69%
Description
EUR/USD is the cleanest major-FX expression of relative ECB versus Fed pricing. Inflation surprises, growth divergences, and central-bank communication can reprice the pair very quickly.
Asset class
FX
Primary venue
FrankfurtEurozone FX session
Session status
OpenGlobal FX · 24/5
24h change
+0.69%
Relevant tags
FXRisk-On
Macro sensitivity
Relative rates · Inflation divergence · Growth mix · Broad dollar tone
AI analysis
EURUSD
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Upcoming high-impact events
Time
Impact
Type
Event
Jul 6, 2026 · 13:45
Macro
S&P Global Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 3, 2026 · 07:45
Macro
HCOB Italy Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 3, 2026 · 07:50
Macro
HCOB France Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 3, 2026 · 07:55
Macro
HCOB Germany Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 3, 2026 · 08:00
Macro
HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 3, 2026 · 08:00
Macro
HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Jun)
What moves this asset
Macro release
Result
Why it moved
Initial Jobless Claims
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
High impact
Forecast 219K · Previous 215K
Labor-market signal: Consensus looked for 219K versus 215K previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Unemployment Rate (Jun)
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
High impact
Forecast 4.3% · Previous 4.3%
Labor-market signal: The market expected 4.3%, unchanged from the previous 4.3%, so the release mainly mattered through surprise risk. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
HCOB Spain Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 3, 2026 · 07:15
Medium impact
Forecast 50.8 · Previous 50.1
Growth momentum: Consensus looked for 50.8 versus 50.1 previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Survey data gives an early read on activity, orders, prices and hiring before hard macro data arrives. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Continuing Jobless Claims
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
Medium impact
Previous 1,821K
Labor-market signal: The previous 1,821K reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Participation Rate (Jun)
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
Medium impact
Previous 61.8%
Macro catalyst: The previous 61.8% reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. The release changed the market's read on growth, inflation or policy expectations tied to this asset. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Unemployment Rate (May)
Jul 2, 2026 · 09:00
Medium impact
Forecast 6.3% · Previous 6.3%
Labor-market signal: The market expected 6.3%, unchanged from the previous 6.3%, so the release mainly mattered through surprise risk. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
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