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USD/JPY

Price
161.04Open
24H
-0.92%
Description
USD/JPY is one of the cleanest expressions of yield differentials and policy divergence between the Fed and the Bank of Japan. It is also highly sensitive to sudden risk-off moves and any sign of Japanese policy normalization.
Asset class
FX
Primary venue
TokyoAsia FX session
Session status
OpenGlobal FX · 24/5
24h change
-0.92%
Relevant tags
FXRisk-On
Macro sensitivity
Yield differentials · BoJ normalization risk · Fed path · Risk-off demand
AI analysis
USDJPY
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Upcoming high-impact events
Time
Impact
Type
Event
Jul 6, 2026 · 13:45
Macro
S&P Global Services PMI (Jun)
Jul 6, 2026 · 14:00
Macro
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
Jul 6, 2026 · 13:45
Macro
S&P Global Composite PMI (Jun)
Jul 7, 2026 · 12:15
Macro
ADP Employment Change Weekly
Jul 7, 2026 · 12:30
Macro
Trade Balance (May)
Jul 7, 2026 · 23:50
Macro
Current Account n.s.a. (May)
What moves this asset
Macro release
Result
Why it moved
Initial Jobless Claims
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
High impact
Forecast 219K · Previous 215K
Labor-market signal: Consensus looked for 219K versus 215K previously, setting up a hotter expected print. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Unemployment Rate (Jun)
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
High impact
Forecast 4.3% · Previous 4.3%
Labor-market signal: The market expected 4.3%, unchanged from the previous 4.3%, so the release mainly mattered through surprise risk. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Continuing Jobless Claims
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
Medium impact
Previous 1,821K
Labor-market signal: The previous 1,821K reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Participation Rate (Jun)
Jul 2, 2026 · 12:30
Medium impact
Previous 61.8%
Macro catalyst: The previous 61.8% reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. The release changed the market's read on growth, inflation or policy expectations tied to this asset. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Monetary Base (June)
Jul 1, 2026 · 23:50
Medium impact
Previous -12.2
Macro catalyst: The previous -12.2 reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. The release changed the market's read on growth, inflation or policy expectations tied to this asset. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
ADP Employment Change
Jul 1, 2026 · 12:15
Medium impact
Previous 122
Labor-market signal: The previous 122 reading was the benchmark, so the move came from how the new release changed that trend. Jobs data changes the growth-versus-inflation balance and can reset expectations for the next policy move. For FX, that feeds rate differentials and the dollar leg.
Important recent news
Time
Headline
Jul 2, 2026 · 14:25
Paramount-Warner Merger Enters Crunch Time In Europe, UK Holds Key
Jul 1, 2026 · 23:30
The Japanese yen is at a 40-year low. Here’s why that matters | CNN Business